Damn May goes fast...Derby, Moms Day, Preakness, Memorial Day and BAM its June!
Here's my take on the Baltimore horse contest this Saturday evening at 6:15...............
First let's look at history.....Derby winners have done well in the last twenty years or so throw A.K. out of your trifecta at your own peril.........Also, history whispers in my ear a new shooter always hits the board. My new shooter is DANCE CITY, just one of many speed balls in the race. I'm looking at that breeding of speed over stamina (Mr. Prospector with a Pleasant Colony/Northern Dancer mare on bottom). As well as Pletch having to "settle" for Ramon Dominguez instead of his number one boy Johnny V.
Now lets put the history book under the front seat of the car and look out at the hood ornament as we fly into the future....No three year old EVER at this point in his career will have as much on the line at Dialed In. I mean do you really think Nicky and the owner wanted that Frenchman to push him in Louisville if at the 3/16th pole if he didn't have a chance with 6.1 million dollars waiting at Pimlico? And remember Louis Qutores? Nick finished what 16th in the Derby to kill em at Old Hilltop 14 days later.
However, I really believe I'm going back to my Derby future pick of the MM MAN...the most experienced and consistent pony in the whole field. This will be his 7th Graded stakes in a row and, except for his his first race back from his 2 to 3 year old layoff, he has always cashed a check. I told ya I hated that six week layoff from LA to LOU and now he should be tight. Get down on both knees and raise your hand to the heavens if you get that 6-1 morning line.
This ain't going to be a rerun of what happened at the record breaking rose sniffing contest in Kentucky. That was the slowest first half splits since even before we were born (that includes even you Thom as well as my baby brother that hits 50 Monday). So look for a legitimate pace in the land of Mary. Bet heavy on the winners and light on the losers.
Ron
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